On January 30, 2025 Takeda (TOKYO:4502/NYSE:TAK) reported earnings results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024 (nine months ended December 31, 2024) showing continued advancement of its Growth & Launch Products, which delivered double-digit growth of 14.6% at CER (Press release, Takeda, JAN 30, 2025, View Source [SID1234649974]). The company has upgraded its full year outlook for growth, reflecting strong year-to-date product performance and OPEX efficiencies, as well as revised foreign exchange assumptions.

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Takeda continues to advance multiple late-stage programs and is on track for three Phase 3 data readouts within the calendar year 2025. The company expects three regulatory filings in FY2025-FY2026 and five additional regulatory filings in FY2027-FY2029. Six of these late-stage programs are estimated to have the potential to generate peak revenues ranging from USD 10 billion to 20 billion in total and contribute to long-term growth.

Takeda also announced today its decision to buy back shares up to JPY 100.0 billion, underscoring confidence in its strong business momentum and commitment to shareholder returns. For details, see release: Takeda Announces Acquisition of Own Shares

Takeda chief financial officer, Milano Furuta, commented:
"We are raising our Management Guidance and reported & Core forecasts for the full year, pivoting to a growth outlook for revenue and operating profit on the strength of product momentum and OPEX efficiencies from our efficiency program. We are confident that we will grow our Core Operating Profit margin this fiscal year.

"As highlighted at our R&D Day in December 2024, we are on track to three Phase 3 data readouts within calendar year 2025, strengthening confidence in our long-term growth outlook.

"The announcement of our new share buyback program, approved by Takeda’s Board of Directors, demonstrates our commitment to shareholder returns."

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS for FY2024 Q3 YTD Ended December 31, 2024

(Billion yen, except percentages and per share amounts)

FY2024 Q3 YTD

FY2023 Q3 YTD

vs. PRIOR YEAR

(Actual % change)

Revenue

3,528.2

3,212.9

+9.8%

Operating Profit

417.5

224.1

+86.3%

Net Profit

211.1

147.1

+43.5%

EPS (Yen)

134

94

+42.1%

Operating Cash Flow

835.0

437.8

+90.8%

Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-IFRS)

568.3

36.3

+1,466%

Core (Non-IFRS)

(Billion yen, except percentages and per share amounts)

FY2024 Q3 YTD

FY2023 Q3 YTD

vs. PRIOR YEAR

(Actual % change)

vs. PRIOR YEAR

(CER % change)

Revenue

3,528.2

3,212.9

+9.8%

+4.5%

Operating Profit

1,006.3

865.6

+16.3%

+10.1%

Margin

28.5%

26.9%

+1.6pp

―

Net Profit

698.9

643.6

+8.6%

+1.9%

EPS (Yen)

443

412

+7.5%

+0.9%

FY2024 Outlook
Updating Full Year Management Guidance and Reported and Core Forecasts

Takeda has upgraded its FY2024 Management Guidance, primarily driven by product momentum and OPEX savings. In addition, and also reflecting revised foreign exchange assumptions for the year, Takeda has raised its FY2024 reported and Core forecasts from the previous forecast. For more details, see release: Notice of the Revised Forecast of Consolidated Financials for FY2024 (IFRS)

FY2024 Management Guidance Core Change at CER (Non-IFRS)

FY2024 PREVIOUS
MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE
(October 2024)

FY2024 REVISED
MANAGEMENT GUIDANCE
(January 2025)

Core Revenue

Flat to slightly increasing

Low-single-digit % increase

Core Operating Profit

Mid-single-digit % decline

Low-single-digit % increase

Core EPS (Yen)

Approx 10% decline

Flat to slightly declining

FY2024 Reported and Core Forecasts

(Billion yen, except percentages and per share amounts)

FY2024
PREVIOUS FORECAST

(October 2024)

FY2024

REVISED FORECAST

(January 2025)

Revenue

4,480.0

4,590.0

Core Revenue (Non-IFRS)

4,480.0

4,590.0

Operating Profit

265.0

344.0

Core Operating Profit (Non-IFRS)

1,050.0

1,150.0

Net Profit

68.0

118.0

EPS (Yen)

43

75

Core EPS (Yen) (Non-IFRS)

456

507

Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-IFRS)

400.0-500.0

550.0-650.0

Annual Dividend per Share (Yen)

196

196

Positive Momentum in High-Value, Late-Stage Pipeline
The company is building strong momentum with its high-value, late-stage programs. The transformative value these programs can deliver to patients, as well as the significant revenue potential through 2030 and beyond, were presented at the R&D Day event held in December 2024.

Among the multiple late-stage programs presented, the company expects three Phase 3 data readouts in the calendar year 2025 with filings anticipated in FY2025-FY2026 for the following programs and indications:

oveporexton (TAK-861) for the treatment of narcolepsy type 1,
zasocitinib for the treatment of psoriasis, and
rusfertide for the treatment of polycythemia vera, a rare chronic blood disorder
Moreover, five additional indication filings for late-stage programs are on pace for FY2027-FY2029.

zasocitinib for the treatment of psoriatic arthritis,
mezagitamab for treatments of immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), a rare immune-mediated bleeding disorder, and immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN), a chronic progressive autoimmune mediated kidney disease,
fazirsiran for the treatment of alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency-associated liver disease, and
elritercept for the treatment of anemia associated with myelodysplastic syndrome
Beyond its high-value, late-stage pipeline, Takeda will continue advancing its early-stage pipeline and focusing on strategic business development opportunities, to deliver treatments that have the potential to change patients’ lives.

Additional Information About Takeda’s FY2024 Q3 YTD Results
For more details about Takeda’s FY2024 Q3 YTD results, commercial progress, pipeline updates and other financial information, including key assumptions in the FY2024 forecast and management guidance as well as definitions of non-IFRS measures, please refer to Takeda’s FY2024 Q3 investor presentation (available at View Source)