Novartis delivers strong sales growth, robust margin expansion and raises guidance. Announces USD 15 billion share buyback and Board endorses Sandoz spin-off

On July 18, 2023 Novartis reported another strong quarter of sales growth and robust margin expansion, supporting an upgrade to Group guidance for 2023 (Press release, Novartis, JUL 18, 2023, View Source [SID1234633269]). The performance was broad-based across core therapeutic areas and key geographies. Our growth drivers and rich pipeline continue to provide confidence in our mid-term growth outlook, highlighted by upcoming milestones for Kisqali, Pluvicto and iptacopan. Novartis robust balance sheet and expected future growth allow us to initiate an up-to USD 15 billion share buyback while maintaining the flexibility for continued strategic bolt-on acquisitions."

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Key figures3

Q2 2023 Q2 2022 % change H1 2023 H1 2022 % change
USD m USD m USD cc USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 13 622 12 781 7 9 26 575 25 312 5 8
Operating income 2 920 2 228 31 50 5 776 5 080 14 28
Net income 2 317 1 695 37 54 4 611 3 914 18 32
EPS (USD) 1.11 0.77 44 62 2.20 1.77 24 39
Free cash flow4 3 275 3 498 -6 5 995 4 890 23
Core operating income 4 668 4 270 9 17 9 081 8 353 9 16
Core net income 3 811 3 431 11 19 7 425 6 682 11 19
Core EPS (USD) 1.83 1.56 17 25 3.54 3.02 17 25
Strategy Update

Our focus

With our new focused strategy unveiled in 2022, Novartis is transforming into a "pure-play" Innovative Medicines business. We focus on five core therapeutic areas (cardiovascular, immunology, neuroscience, solid tumors and hematology), with multiple significant in-market and pipeline assets in each of these areas, that address high disease burden and have substantial growth potential. In addition to two established technology platforms (chemistry and biotherapeutics), three emerging platforms (gene & cell therapy, radioligand therapy, and xRNA) are being prioritized for continued investment into new R&D capabilities and manufacturing scale. Geographically, we are focused on growing in our priority geographies – the US, China, Germany and Japan.

Our priorities

Accelerate growth: Renewed attention to deliver high-value medicines (NMEs) and focus on launch excellence, with a rich pipeline across our core therapeutic areas.
Deliver returns: Continuing to embed operational excellence and deliver improved financials. Novartis remains disciplined and shareholder-focused in our approach to capital allocation, with substantial cash generation and a strong capital structure supporting continued flexibility.
Strengthening foundations: Unleashing the power of our people, scaling data science and technology and continuing to build trust with society.
Sandoz planned spin-off

The Novartis Board of Directors has unanimously endorsed the proposed separation of Sandoz to create an independent company by way of a 100% spin-off.

As a next step, shareholders of Novartis will be invited to vote on the proposed spin-off and a related reduction of the share capital of Novartis AG at an Extraordinary General Meeting, planned to be held on Friday, 15 September 2023. The invitation to the EGM, a Shareholder Brochure and listing prospectus, which will be published by Sandoz, are planned to be distributed in August 2023.

Sandoz is planned to be listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange, with an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) program in the US.

The proposed spin-off is planned to occur early in the fourth quarter of 2023. In addition to Novartis shareholder approval, completion of the proposed Sandoz spin-off is subject to satisfaction of certain conditions, including obtaining the necessary approvals for the listing of the Sandoz shares, no order prohibiting (and no other event outside the control of Novartis preventing) the spin-off and no material adverse change.2

Entresto patent update (July)

Following a negative decision from the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware, Novartis will appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit to uphold validity of Novartis patent covering Entresto and combinations of sacubitril and valsartan. No generics have tentative or final approval in the US. Any commercial launch of a generic Entresto product prior to the final outcome of Novartis combination patent appeal, or ongoing litigations involving other patents, may be at risk of later litigation developments.

Financials

Second quarter

Net sales were USD 13.6 billion (+7%, +9% cc) in the second quarter driven by volume growth of 14 percentage points, price erosion of 2 percentage points and the negative impact from generic competition of 3 percentage points.

Operating income was USD 2.9 billion (31%, +50% cc), mainly driven by higher sales and lower restructuring charges.

Net income was USD 2.3 billion (+37%, +54% cc), mainly due to higher operating income. EPS was USD 1.11 (+44%, +62% cc), growing faster than net income, benefiting from lower weighted average number of shares outstanding.

Core operating income was USD 4.7 billion (+9%, +17% cc), mainly driven by higher sales. Core operating income margin was 34.3% of net sales, increasing by 0.9 percentage points (+2.5 percentage points cc).

Core net income was USD 3.8 billion (+11%, +19% cc), mainly due to higher core operating income. Core EPS was USD 1.83 (+17%, +25% cc), growing faster than core net income, benefiting from lower weighted average number of shares outstanding.

Free cash flow amounted to USD 3.3 billion (-6% USD), compared with USD 3.5 billion in the prior year quarter. This decrease was driven by the lower net cash flows from operating activities.

Innovative Medicines net sales were USD 11.2 billion (+7%, +9% cc), with volume contributing 15 percentage points to growth. Sales growth was mainly driven by continued strong performance from Entresto, Kesimpta, Pluvicto and Kisqali partly offset by generic competition mainly for Gilenya. Generic competition had a negative impact of 4 percentage points. Pricing had a negative impact of 2 percentage points. Sales in the US were USD 4.5 billion (+14%) and in the rest of the world USD 6.7 billion (+3%, +7% cc).

Sandoz net sales were USD 2.4 billion (+5%, +8% cc), with volume contributing 9 percentage points to growth. Pricing had a negative impact of 1 percentage point. Sales growth was mainly driven by Europe USD 1.3 billion (+11%, +13% cc), which benefited from strong volume growth driven by continued momentum from prior year launches, a strong cough and cold season and the biosimilars business. Global sales of Biosimilars grew to USD 531 million (+12%, +13% cc), also driven by growth ex-US.

First half

Net sales were USD 26.6 billion (+5%, +8% cc) in the first half driven by volume growth of 15 percentage points, price erosion of 3 percentage points and the negative impact from generic competition of 4 percentage points.

Operating income was USD 5.8 billion (14%, +28% cc), mainly driven by higher sales.

Net income was USD 4.6 billion (+18%, +32% cc), mainly due to higher operating income. EPS was USD 2.20 (+24%, +39% cc), growing faster than net income, benefiting from lower weighted average number of shares outstanding.

Core operating income was USD 9.1 billion (+9%, +16% cc), mainly driven by higher sales. Core operating income margin was 34.2% of net sales, increasing by 1.2 percentage points (+2.4 percentage points cc).

Core net income was USD 7.4 billion (+11%, +19% cc), mainly due to higher core operating income. Core EPS was USD 3.54 (+17%, +25% cc), growing faster than core net income, benefiting from lower weighted average number of shares outstanding.

Free cash flow amounted to USD 6.0 billion (+23% USD), compared with USD 4.9 billion in the prior year period driven by higher net cash flows from operating activities.

Innovative Medicines net sales were USD 21.8 billion (+5%, +8% cc), with volume contributing 16 percentage points to growth. Sales growth was mainly driven by continued strong performance from Entresto, Kesimpta, Pluvicto and Kisqali partly offset by generic competition mainly for Gilenya. Generic competition had a negative impact of 5 percentage points. Pricing had a negative impact of 3 percentage points. Sales in the US were USD 8.6 billion (+12%) and in the rest of the world USD 13.2 billion (+1%, +6% cc).

Sandoz net sales were USD 4.8 billion (+4%, +8% cc), with volume contributing 12 percentage points to growth. Pricing had a negative impact of 4 percentage points. Sales growth was mainly driven by Europe USD 2.7 billion (+11%, +14% cc), which benefited from strong volume growth driven by continued momentum from prior year launches, a strong cough and cold season and the biosimilars business. Global sales of Biosimilars grew to USD 1.0 billion (+12%, +15% cc), also driven by growth ex-US.

Q2 key growth drivers

Underpinning our financial results in the quarter is a continued focus on key growth drivers including:

Entresto (USD 1,516 million, +37% cc) sustained robust demand-led growth, benefitting from the adoption of guideline-directed medical therapy across regions
Kesimpta (USD 489 million, +105% cc) sales growth across all regions driven by increased demand and strong access
Pluvicto (USD 240 million) continues to see strong demand in the US, with approval received in Q2 for expanded manufacturing capacity at Millburn, NJ
Kisqali (USD 493 million, +66% cc) sales grew strongly across all regions, based on increasing recognition of consistent overall survival and quality of life benefits
Scemblix (USD 106 million, +248% cc) sales grew across all regions, demonstrating the high unmet need in CML
Lutathera (USD 150 million, +75% cc) sales grew mainly in the US and Japan due to increased demand and prior year low base
Promacta/Revolade (USD 583 million, +11% cc) grew across all regions, driven by increased use in chronic ITP and as first-line and/or second-line treatment for severe aplastic anemia
Tafinlar + Mekinist (USD 496 million, +13% cc) sales grew across all regions, driven by demand in BRAF+ adjuvant melanoma and NSCLC indications
Leqvio (USD 78 million, +249%cc) launch in the US and other markets ongoing, with focus on patient on-boarding, removing access hurdles and enhancing medical education
Piqray/Vijoice (USD 130 million, +54% cc) sales grew mainly in the US and Europe, benefiting from indication expansion into PIK3CA-related overgrowth spectrum (PROS)
Jakavi (USD 435 million, +11% cc) sales grew in Emerging Growth Markets, Europe and Japan, driven by strong demand in both myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera
Ilaris (USD 316 million, +17% cc) sales grew in in the US, Emerging Growth Markets and Japan
Cosentyx (USD 1,272 million, +1% cc) sales stabilized with continued demand growth across key regions, offset by US revenue deduction. Ex-US sales grew +18% (cc)
Sandoz Biosimilars (USD 531 million, +13% cc) with growth driven ex-US
Emerging Growth Markets* Overall, grew +15% (cc). Growth in China (+14% cc, USD 895 million) outpaced the multi-national corporation market, with Innovative Medicines growing +16%
*All markets except the US, Canada, Western Europe, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand

Net sales of the top 20 Innovative Medicines products in 2023

Q2 2023 % change H1 2023 % change
USD m USD cc USD m USD cc
Entresto 1 516 35 37 2 915 31 35
Cosentyx 1 272 0 1 2 348 -4 -1
Promacta/Revolade 583 9 11 1 130 10 13
Tafinlar + Mekinist 496 10 13 954 12 15
Tasigna 476 -4 -3 938 -2 1
Kisqali 493 60 66 908 66 73
Kesimpta 489 105 105 873 101 103
Jakavi 435 9 11 849 8 12
Lucentis 395 -21 -20 811 -21 -17
Xolair 362 3 5 716 -1 3
Sandostatin 331 4 5 660 3 5
Ilaris 316 15 17 644 15 18
Zolgensma 311 -18 -16 620 -16 -15
Gilenya 269 -52 -52 501 -57 -56
Pluvicto 240 nm nm 451 nm nm
Exforge Group 184 -8 -4 370 -7 -3
Galvus Group 175 -21 -15 358 -18 -12
Diovan Group 155 -3 2 313 -11 -5
Lutathera 150 74 75 299 42 43
Gleevec/Glivec 142 -27 -24 289 -26 -23
Top 20 brands total 8 790 9 11 16 947 7 10
nm= not meaningful

R&D update – key developments from the second quarter

New approvals

Cosentyx EC approved Cosentyx for use in adults with active moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and an inadequate response to conventional systemic HS therapy based on positive readouts from two Ph3 trials

FDA approved the Cosentyx​ UnoReady​​ pen, a 300 mg dosage strength for subcutaneous administration to treat moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis, active psoriatic arthritis and active ankylosing spondylitis
Entresto EU approval for pediatric heart failure, which supports extension of regulatory data protection in Europe to November 2026

Regulatory updates

Iptacopan PNH – regulatory submissions completed in the US and Europe
C3 glomerulopathy – granted FDA Breakthrough Therapy designation
Leqvio In July, FDA expanded the label. Indication updated to primary hyperlipidemia including Heterozygous Familial Hypercholesterolemia, less restrictive language for use for statin therapy, broader population from ORION-11 and removal of several adverse reactions from safety section
Denosumab biosimilar EMA accepted the marketing authorization applications for proposed biosimilar denosumab for regulatory review. The two applications include all indications covered by the reference medicines Prolia and Xgeva
Adakveo CHMP recommended revocation of the conditional marketing authorization, based on the results of the confirmatory Ph3 STAND study, which were not consistent with the pivotal SUSTAIN trial. Final decision is expected in Q3 2023

Results from ongoing trials and other highlights

Kisqali Ph3 NATALEE trial showed that ribociclib plus a non-steroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI), compared to NSAI alone, significantly lowered the risk of cancer recurrence in a broad population of patients with HR+/HER2- early breast cancer regardless of stage, menopausal or nodal status. Results were also consistent across all secondary efficacy endpoints, , with a trend for improvement in overall survival. The safety profile was favorable at 400 mg with low rates of symptomatic adverse events. Data was presented at ASCO (Free ASCO Whitepaper) 2023.

Novartis plans to submit data from NATALEE to regulatory authorities (in Europe, the US, and other countries) in Q3/Q4 2023
iptacopan APPOINT-PNH trial in adult PNH patients naive to complement-inhibitors (including anti-C5 therapies) met its primary endpoint with an estimated 92.2% of patients (95% CI: 82.5, 100) achieving a 2 g/dL or more hemoglobin-level increase from baseline without the need for blood transfusions after the 24-week core treatment period. Secondary endpoints also showed clinically meaningful benefits. Data was presented at EBMT 2023.

Additional iptacopan data in PNH was also presented at EHA (Free EHA Whitepaper) 2023
Kesimpta Up to five year data from the ALITHIOS open-label extension study showed that patients treated earlier and continuously with Kesimpta had fewer disability worsening events and low brain volume change versus those who started on teriflunomide and were later switched to Kesimpta. Treatment with Kesimpta continued to be well tolerated with no new safety signals identified over the treatment period. Data was presented at AAN 2023
NIS793 Program in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC) to be discontinued based on benefit-risk assessment.
Ongoing Ph2 study in colorectal cancer is continuing
MBL949 GDF-15 discontinued due to lack of efficacy
Chinook Therapeutics Novartis announced that it has entered into an agreement to acquire Chinook Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with two high-value, late-stage assets in development for IgA nephropathy: atrasentan (an oral endothelin A receptor antagonist, in Phase 3) and zigakibart (an anti-APRIL monoclonal antibody, entering Phase 3). Closing anticipated in H2 2023 and subject to customary conditions
‘Front of Eye’ assets Agreement to divest ‘front of eye’ ophthalmology assets to Bausch + Lomb. Deal includes: Xiidra (dry eye disease), SAF312 (libvatrep) in development for chronic ocular surface pain, OJL332 (TRPV1 antagonist in pre-clinical development) and rights for use of the AcuStream delivery device. Closing anticipated in H2 2023 and subject to customary conditions
DTx Pharma Novartis announced that it has acquired DTx Pharma. Deal includes: DTx-1252 a potential therapy for Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease type 1A (CMT1A), two additional preclinical programs for other neuroscience indications and DTx’s fatty acid ligand-conjugated oligonucleotide (FALCON) platform
Sandoz / Just-Evotec Biologics Sandoz and Just-Evotec Biologics announced a partnership to develop and manufacture multiple biosimilars, supporting the expansion of the current Sandoz pipeline to 24 assets and the continued development of the early-stage pipeline
ociperlimab
(TIGIT inhibitor) BeiGene and Novartis entered into a Mutual Termination and Release Agreement to terminate the Option, Collaboration and License Agreement for ociperlimab effective July 10 2023
Capital structure and net debt

Retaining a good balance between investment in the business, a strong capital structure and attractive shareholder returns remains a priority.

During the first half of 2023, Novartis repurchased a total of 61.3 million shares for USD 5.8 billion on the SIX Swiss Exchange second trading line. These repurchases included 52.8 million shares (USD 4.9 billion) under the USD 15 billion share buyback (announced in December 2021 and completed in June 2023 with a total of 170.7 million shares repurchased over this period). In addition, 8.5 million shares (USD 0.9 billion) were repurchased to mitigate dilution related to participation plans of associates, with the remainder of repurchases for this purpose to be executed in Q3 2023. Furthermore, 1.3 million shares (for an equity value of USD 0.1 billion) were repurchased from associates. In the same period, 11.3 million shares (for an equity value of USD 0.6 billion) were delivered as a result of options exercised and share deliveries related to participation plans of associates. Consequently, the total number of shares outstanding decreased by 51.3 million versus December 31, 2022. These treasury share transactions resulted in an equity decrease of USD 5.3 billion and a net cash outflow of USD 5.7 billion.

As of June 30, 2023, net debt increased to USD 15.4 billion compared to USD 7.2 billion at December 31, 2022. The increase was mainly due to the USD 7.3 billion annual dividend payment and net cash outflow for treasury share transactions of USD 5.7 billion, partially offset by USD 6.0 billion free cash flow during the first half of 2023.

As of Q2 2023, the long-term credit rating for the company is A1 with Moody’s Investors Service and AA- with S&P Global Ratings.

2023 outlook raised due to strong H1 momentum

Barring unforeseen events; growth vs prior year in cc Previous Guidance
Innovative Medicines Sales expected to grow high single digit
Core OpInc expected to grow low double digit
to mid-teens (from mid)
(from high single to low double)
Novartis ex. Sandoz
(IM + Corporate) Sales expected to grow high single digit
Core OpInc expected to grow low double digit
to mid-teens (from mid)
(from high single to low double)
Novartis incl. Sandoz
(IM + Sandoz + Sales expected to grow high single digit
Core OpInc expected to grow low double digit (from mid)
(from high single)
* Novartis Group guidance, assuming Sandoz would remain within the Group for the entire FY 2023

Barring unforeseen events; growth vs prior year in cc

Sandoz Sales expected to grow mid-single digit
Core OpInc expected to decline low double digit, reflecting required stand-up investments to transition Sandoz to a separate company and continued inflationary pressures

Key assumptions:

No US Entresto Gx at risk launch in 2023
No Sandostatin LAR generics enter in the US in 2023
Sandoz spin-off completed in early Q4 2023

Foreign exchange impact
If mid-July exchange rates prevail for the remainder of 2023, the foreign exchange impact for the year would be 0 to negative 1 percentage point on net sales and negative 5 percentage points on core operating income. The estimated impact of exchange rates on our results is provided monthly on our website.

Key figures1

Group Q2 2023 Q2 2022 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 13 622 12 781 7 9
Operating income 2 920 2 228 31 50
As a % of sales 21.4 17.4
Net income 2 317 1 695 37 54
EPS (USD) 1.11 0.77 44 62
Cash flows from
operating activities 3 576 3 755 -5

Non-IFRS measures
Free cash flow2 3 275 3 498 -6
Core operating income 4 668 4 270 9 17
As a % of sales 34.3 33.4
Core net income 3 811 3 431 11 19
Core EPS (USD) 1.83 1.56 17 25

Innovative Medicines Q2 2023 Q2 2022
restated3 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 11 243 10 525 7 9
Operating income 2 999 2 206 36 52
As a % of sales 26.7 21.0
Core operating income 4 387 3 911 12 20
As a % of sales 39.0 37.2

Sandoz Q2 2023 Q2 2022
restated3 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 2 379 2 256 5 8
Operating income 212 357 -41 -27
As a % of sales 8.9 15.8
Core operating income 429 451 -5 6
As a % of sales 18.0 20.0

Corporate Q2 2023 Q2 2022
restated3 % change
USD m USD m USD Cc
Operating loss -291 -335 13 16
Core operating loss -148 -92 -61 -63

Group H1 2023 H1 2022 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 26 575 25 312 5 8
Operating income 5 776 5 080 14 28
As a % of sales 21.7 20.1
Net income 4 611 3 914 18 32
EPS (USD) 2.20 1.77 24 39
Cash flows from
operating activities 6 533 5 404 21

Non-IFRS measures
Free cash flow2 5 995 4 890 23
Core operating income 9 081 8 353 9 16
As a % of sales 34.2 33.0
Core net income 7 425 6 682 11 19
Core EPS (USD) 3.54 3.02 17 25

Innovative Medicines H1 2023 H1 2022
restated3 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 21 813 20 755 5 8
Operating income 5 674 4 833 17 30
As a % of sales 26.0 23.3
Core operating income 8 475 7 583 12 19
As a % of sales 38.9 36.5

Sandoz H1 2023 H1 2022
restated3 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Net sales 4 762 4 557 4 8
Operating income 531 751 -29 -19
As a % of sales 11.2 16.5
Core operating income 933 964 -3 5
As a % of sales 19.6 21.2

Corporate H1 2023 H1 2022
restated3 % change
USD m USD m USD cc
Operating loss -429 -504 15 17
Core operating loss -327 -194 -69 -71
1Constant currencies (cc), core results and free cash flow are non-IFRS measures. An explanation of non-IFRS measures can be found on page 48 of the Condensed Interim Financial Report. Unless otherwise noted, all growth rates in this Release refer to same period in prior year.
2To aid in comparability, the prior year free cash flow amounts have been revised to conform with the new free cash flow definition that was effective as of January 1, 2023.
3 Restated to reflect the transfers of the Sandoz division’s biotechnology manufacturing services to other companies’ activities and the Coartem brand to the Innovative Medicines division that was effective as of January 1, 2023 (see Note 9 of the Condensed Interim Financial Report).

Detailed financial results accompanying this press release are included in the Condensed Interim Financial Report at the link below:
View Source